StatSheet Projects Missouri as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team Nine Seed: 02/17/2013

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 17th, 2013
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet projects Missouri on the bubble for the NCAA Tournament with potentially a nine seed. The Tigers are #44 in the StatSheet StatRank with an 18-7 overall record and a 7-5 record in the SEC.

Over the last four games, Missouri picked up a quality win against RPI #45 Ole Miss and a win against Mississippi State but also hit a setback with losses to RPI #76 Arkansas and RPI #73 Texas A&M.

Missouri is below average against top competition, with a 7-6 record against the RPI Top 100 but a 3-4 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-2 record against AP ranked teams. The Tigers have three quality wins including RPI #45 Ole Miss, RPI #25 Illinois, and RPI #35 Virginia Commonwealth. Their single bad loss came against RPI #105 LSU.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Southern Miss (20-6, 9-2 C-USA, StatRank #40), Alabama (17-8, 9-3 SEC, StatRank #58), Iowa State (17-8, 7-5 Big 12, StatRank #56), and Villanova (16-10, 7-6 Big East, StatRank #59).

The first four teams out are Florida State (14-11, 6-6 ACC, StatRank #77), Maryland (18-7, 6-6 ACC, StatRank #64), Stanford (15-11, 6-7 Pac 12, StatRank #73), and Temple (17-8, 6-5 A-10, StatRank #53).

The next four out are Arizona State (19-7, 8-5 Pac 12, StatRank #70), Creighton (21-6, 10-5 Missouri Valley, StatRank #43), Saint Louis (19-5, 8-2 A-10, StatRank #46), and Tennessee (14-10, 6-6 SEC, StatRank #72).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Arizona
#3Gonzaga
#4Georgetown
#5Butler
#6Colorado
#7Illinois
#8Colorado State
#9Cincinnati
#10Belmont
#11Baylor
#12Alabama
#13Akron
#14Bucknell
#15Davidson
#16Long Beach State
#17High Point
Regional 2
#1Indiana
#2Florida
#3Kansas
#4Minnesota
#5Marquette
#6New Mexico
#7North Carolina
#8Kentucky
#9MTSU
#10La Salle
#11Boise State
#12Iowa State
#13Louisiana Tech
#14NSU
#15Harvard
#16Niagara
#17Mercer
Regional 3
#1Miami (FL)
#2Michigan State
#3Kansas State
#4Ohio State
#5NC State
#6Pittsburgh
#7Notre Dame
#8Memphis
#9Missouri
#10Ole Miss
#11California
#12Villanova
#13Southern Miss
#14SDSU
#15Montana
#16Northeastern
#17Norfolk State
Regional 4
#1Michigan
#2Syracuse
#3Louisville
#4Oklahoma
#5Oklahoma State
#6Wisconsin
#7Oregon
#8UNLV
#9UCLA
#10San Diego State
#11St. John's
#12VCU
#13Wichita State
#14Valparaiso
#15Stony Brook
#16Robert Morris
#17SOU

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East9 1656.2%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
Big 126 1060.0%
Mountain West5 862.5%
SEC5 1241.7%
Pac 125 1241.7%
ACC4 1233.3%
A-103 1421.4%
C-USA2 1216.7%
Big West1 911.1%
Patriot1 812.5%
West Coast1 911.1%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Big South1 119.1%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
SoCon1 128.3%
WAC1 812.5%
MAC1 128.3%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Big Sky1 911.1%
MAAC1 1010.0%
MEAC1 137.7%
CAA1 128.3%
Southland1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Summit League1 1010.0%
SWAC1 1010.0%
America East1 911.1%
Horizon1 1010.0%
Missouri Valley1 1010.0%

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Season Preview: Mizzou is very unlikely to have a better team than last year. Read our Season Preview
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SEC Standings

OverallConf
1 Florida 36-3 18-0
2 Kentucky 29-11 12-6
2 Georgia 20-14 12-6
4 Tennessee 24-13 11-7
5 Arkansas 22-12 10-8
 6Missouri 23-12 9-9
6 LSU 20-14 9-9
6 Ole Miss 19-14 9-9
9 Texas A&M 18-16 8-10
10 Vanderbilt 15-16 7-11
10 Alabama 13-19 7-11
12 Auburn 14-16 6-12
13 South Carolina 14-20 5-13
14 MState 14-19 3-15
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

2013-2014 Roster

#42 Hayden Barnard Fr F 6-10 215
#10 Deuce Bello Jr G 6-4 177
#32 Jabari Brown Jr G 6-5 214
#1 Wes Clark Fr G 6-0 171
#5 Jordan Clarkson Jr G 6-5 193
#2 Tony Criswell Sr F 6-9 240
#31 Danny Feldmann Jr F 6-9 225
#4 Corey Haith So G 5-10 174
#35 Stefan Jankovic So F 6-11 242
#24 Torren Jones Fr F 6-8 234
#45 Keanau Post Jr F 6-11 268
#25 Zach Price Jr F 6-10 250
#11 Shane Rector Fr G 6-1 171
#44 Ryan Rosburg So F 6-10 252
#33 Earnest Ross Sr G 6-5 228
#3 J. Williams III Fr F 6-9 208